ED1ZAC - READ ALERT 17

LU9DCE > ALERT 25.04.25 07:45z 539 Lines 15497 Bytes #54 (0) @ WW BID : 1018_LU9DCE Read: GUEST Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 25-APR25 Path: ED1ZAC<ED1ZAC<LU4ECL<LU9DCE Sent: 250425/0731Z 1018@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24 __ _ _ ___ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ ____ ( ) / )( \/ _ \( \ / __)( __) ( _ \( _ \/ ___) / (_/\) \/ (\__ )) D (( (__ ) _) ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \ \____/\____/(___/(____/ \___)(____) (____/(____/(____/ PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM) PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN) COPYRIGHT 2024 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO +----------------------------------------------------------------------------+ SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 170 WW 170 SEVERE TSTM KS OK 242155Z - 250500Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 170 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 455 PM CDT THU APR 24 2025 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS FAR NORTHERN OKLAHOMA * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 455 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE SUMMARY...STORMS WILL PERSIST WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE KANSAS-OKLAHOMA BORDER VICINITY, AS WELL AS OTHER PARTS OF WEST-CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH EARLY EVENING. ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM EASTERN COLORADO, WHILE MCS DEVELOPMENT COULD OCCUR ALONG THE KANSAS/OKLAHOMA BORDER VICINITY. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES WEST OF GARDEN CITY KS TO 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF MEDICINE LODGE KS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 166...WW 167...WW 168...WW 169... AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025. ...GUYER READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 169 WW 169 SEVERE TSTM CO 242140Z - 250400Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 169 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 440 PM CDT THU APR 24 2025 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN COLORADO * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 440 PM UNTIL 1100 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE SUMMARY...ADDITIONAL STRONG/SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST COLORADO. THIS WILL INCLUDE A COMBO OF MULTICELLS AND A FEW SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL EXPECTED TO BE THE MOST PROBABLE SEVERE HAZARD. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF PUEBLO CO TO 35 MILES EAST OF LAMAR CO. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 166...WW 167...WW 168... AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025. ...GUYER READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC TORNADO WATCH 167 WW 167 TORNADO OK TX 242035Z - 250400Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 167 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 335 PM CDT THU APR 24 2025 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND SOUTH PLAINS * EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 335 PM UNTIL 1100 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR AND BUOYANCY COMBINATIONS STRONGLY FAVOR INTENSE, DISCRETE SUPERCELLS. LARGE TO GIANT HAIL WILL BE PROBABLE WITH ANY SUPERCELL. THE TORNADO RISK WILL LIKELY FOCUS FOR A FEW HOURS DURING THE EARLY EVENING NEAR A RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARY DRAPED OVER PARTS OF THE WATCH AREA. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUYMON OK TO 60 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LUBBOCK TX. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 166... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29015. ...SMITH READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 170 STATUS REPORTS WW 0170 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 170 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KSC007-009-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-077-081-083-093-095- 097-101-119-129-135-145-151-155-159-165-171-175-185-187-189- 250340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBER BARTON CLARK COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY FORD GRANT GRAY HAMILTON HARPER HASKELL HODGEMAN KEARNY KINGMAN KIOWA LANE MEADE MORTON NESS PAWNEE PRATT RENO RICE RUSH SCOTT SEWARD STAFFORD STANTON STEVENS OKC003-059-151-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALFALFA HARPER WOODS READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 169 STATUS REPORTS WW 0169 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE CAO TO 15 SW PUB TO 20 NW PUB TO 45 N LHX TO 10 WSW ITR TO 30 NW GLD. ..HALBERT..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC009-011-017-025-061-063-073-089-099-101-250340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BACA BENT CHEYENNE CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON LINCOLN OTERO PROWERS PUEBLO KSC071-109-199-203-250340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GREELEY LOGAN WALLACE WICHITA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 168 STATUS REPORTS WW 0168 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 168 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0549 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 168 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS NMC025-250240- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE LEA TXC003-033-043-079-103-105-115-135-151-165-173-219-227-279-317- 329-335-371-383-415-443-445-461-475-495-501-250240- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER COCHRAN CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON ECTOR FISHER GAINES GLASSCOCK HOCKLEY HOWARD LAMB MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL PECOS REAGAN SCURRY TERRELL TERRY UPTON WARD WINKLER YOAKUM READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC TORNADO WATCH 167 STATUS REPORTS WW 0167 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 167 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0553 ..DEAN..04/25/25 ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 167 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC007-139-250340- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BEAVER TEXAS TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-189-191-195- 211-233-263-269-295-303-305-341-345-357-375-381-393-421-433-437- 483-250340- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD GARZA GRAY HALE HALL HANSFORD HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON KENT KING LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE POTTER RANDALL READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 166 STATUS REPORTS WW 0166 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 166 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE CLL TO UTS TO 20 W LFK TO 20 SSW GGG TO 20 ENE TYR. ..HALBERT..04/24/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 166 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC005-073-185-347-365-373-401-403-405-407-419-455-471-250040- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANGELINA CHEROKEE GRIMES NACOGDOCHES PANOLA POLK RUSK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SAN JACINTO SHELBY TRINITY WALKER THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC MD 554 MD 0554 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 170... FOR NORTHWEST INTO CENTRAL OK MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0554 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1035 PM CDT THU APR 24 2025 AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHWEST INTO CENTRAL OK CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 170... VALID 250335Z - 250500Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 170 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...SOME SEVERE THREAT WILL SPREAD EAST/SOUTHEAST LATE TONIGHT, THOUGH THE LONGEVITY OF THE THREAT IS UNCERTAIN. DISCUSSION...AFTER BEING CONFINED TO NORTHWEST OK FOR MUCH OF THE EVENING, AN LONG-LIVED STORM CLUSTER HAS SHOWN SOME EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACCELERATION OVER THE LAST HOUR. IN THE SHORT TERM, THIS CLUSTER MAY CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT OF HAIL, LOCALIZED SEVERE GUSTS, AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO, AS IT MOVES THROUGH A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND FAVORABLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. HOWEVER, INCREASING MLCINH WITH TIME AND SOUTHEASTWARD EXTENT RENDERS UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE LONGEVITY OF THE SEVERE THREAT INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THERE MAY BE SOME TENDENCY FOR THE ONGOING CLUSTER TO PROPAGATE EASTWARD ALONG A WEAKLY CONFLUENT SURFACE BOUNDARY, WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR REDEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION ALONG/BEHIND THE TRAILING OUTFLOW. THERE IS ALSO SOME POTENTIAL FOR ONGOING CONVECTION IN THE TX PANHANDLE TO EVENTUALLY SPREAD EASTWARD INTO WEST-CENTRAL/NORTHWEST OK, WITH AT LEAST AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT. ..DEAN.. 04/25/2025 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...OUN... LAT...LON 36389957 36849814 36839746 36589707 36059714 35599765 35489826 35439880 35339944 35319976 35479992 35629996 35919993 36149995 36389957 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC APR 25, 2025 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0746 PM CDT THU APR 24 2025 VALID 250100Z - 251200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE TO SOUTH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS EVENING FROM FROM EASTERN COLORADO AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA, THE PANHANDLES AND WEST TEXAS. VERY LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE, ALONG WITH A FEW TORNADOES. ...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS... SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS PERSIST THIS EVENING OVER WEST TX INCLUDING THE PANHANDLE, WITH VERY LARGE/DAMAGING HAIL IN PROGRESS. OTHER SEVERE CELLS, SOME WITH TORNADIC CIRCULATION, PERSIST OVER NORTHWEST OK WITHIN A CLUSTER, ALSO WITH DAMAGING HAIL AND WIND POTENTIAL. GIVEN THE UNCAPPED AIR MASS ACROSS MOST OF THESE AREAS, STORMS SHOULD PERSIST FOR A FEW HOURS, AND THE INCREASING 850 MB WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH MAY FAVOR RIGHT MOVING SUPERCELLS. THE 00Z AMA SOUNDING CONFIRMS THE LACK OF INHIBITION, SHOWING STEEP LAPSE RATES THROUGH A DEEP LAYER. ISOLATED MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS ALSO PERSIST OVER EASTERN CO, AND NORTH OF THE TORNADIC NORTHWEST OK CLUSTER INTO SOUTHWEST KS. FOR MORE INFORMATION, SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS 548, 549, 550, 551. ..JEWELL.. 04/25/2025 READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= +----------------------------------------------------------------------------+ HYPERTEXT PREPROCESSOR - DEVELOPED BY LU9DCE - VERSION 3
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