ED1ZAC - READ ALERT 19

LU9DCE > ALERT 03.05.25 07:45z 619 Lines 17234 Bytes #63 (0) @ WW BID : 1988_LU9DCE Read: GUEST Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 03-MAY25 Path: ED1ZAC<ED1ZAC<LU4ECL<LU9DCE Sent: 250503/0731Z 1988@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24 __ _ _ ___ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ ____ ( ) / )( \/ _ \( \ / __)( __) ( _ \( _ \/ ___) / (_/\) \/ (\__ )) D (( (__ ) _) ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \ \____/\____/(___/(____/ \___)(____) (____/(____/(____/ PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM) PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN) COPYRIGHT 2024 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO +----------------------------------------------------------------------------+ SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 217 WW 217 SEVERE TSTM TX CW 030050Z - 030700Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 217 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 750 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2025 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 750 PM UNTIL 200 AM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...CLUSTERS OF STORMS, INCLUDING SUPERCELLS, WILL SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH TONIGHT. THE MORE INTENSE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL UP TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER AND DAMAGING GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF LAREDO TX TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF VICTORIA TX. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 212...WW 213...WW 214...WW 215...WW 216... AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31025. ...THOMPSON READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 215 WW 215 SEVERE TSTM TX 022010Z - 030300Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 215 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 310 PM CDT FRI MAY 2 2025 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL 1000 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE SUMMARY...WIDELY SCATTERED SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. THESE STORMS WILL DRIFT SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING, POSING A RISK OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. A TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES NORTH OF DEL RIO TX TO 15 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF COTULLA TX. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 209...WW 210...WW 211...WW 212...WW 213...WW 214... AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025. ...HART READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 217 STATUS REPORTS WW 0217 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 217 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KERR..05/03/25 ATTN...WFO...CRP... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 217 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC007-025-057-131-175-249-273-283-297-311-355-391-409-469-479- 030440- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ARANSAS BEE CALHOUN DUVAL GOLIAD JIM WELLS KLEBERG LA SALLE LIVE OAK MCMULLEN NUECES REFUGIO SAN PATRICIO VICTORIA WEBB GMZ231-232-236-237-250-255-030440- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE BAFFIN BAY AND UPPER LAGUNA MADRE CORPUS CHRISTI AND NUECES BAYS COPANO ARANSAS AND REDFISH BAYS SAN ANTONIO MESQUITE AND ESPIRITU SANTO BAYS READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 216 STATUS REPORTS WW 0216 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW AUO TO 10 NNW ATL TO 50 NW AHN TO 50 SSE TYS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0662 ..MOORE..05/03/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 216 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC011-013-035-063-077-089-113-117-121-135-139-149-151-157-171- 199-217-231-247-255-281-285-297-311-030240- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BANKS BARROW BUTTS CLAYTON COWETA DEKALB FAYETTE FORSYTH FULTON GWINNETT HALL HEARD HENRY JACKSON LAMAR MERIWETHER NEWTON PIKE ROCKDALE SPALDING TOWNS TROUP WALTON WHITE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 215 STATUS REPORTS WW 0215 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 215 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW DRT TO 30 SSW HDO TO 50 ENE COT. PARTS OF REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW MAY BE LOCALLY EXTENDED IN TIME FOR AN HOUR OR TWO BEYOND 03/03Z. OTHERWISE, A NEW WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED. ..KERR..05/03/25 ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 215 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC013-127-163-271-323-325-463-507-030300- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ATASCOSA DIMMIT FRIO KINNEY MAVERICK MEDINA UVALDE ZAVALA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 214 STATUS REPORTS WW 0214 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 214 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE MEI TO 25 SE TCL TO 10 S ANB TO 5 SE RMG. ..MOORE..05/03/25 ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 214 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC001-021-027-029-037-047-051-091-105-111-123-030140- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUTAUGA CHILTON CLAY CLEBURNE COOSA DALLAS ELMORE MARENGO PERRY RANDOLPH TALLAPOOSA THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 213 STATUS REPORTS WW 0213 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 213 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N RMG TO 35 WNW TRI TO 25 E JKL TO 45 WNW HTS TO 30 S DAY. ..MOORE..05/02/25 ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...JKL...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 213 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC063-071-115-119-133-135-159-195-030040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ELLIOTT FLOYD JOHNSON KNOTT LETCHER LEWIS MARTIN PIKE OHC001-071-030040- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS HIGHLAND TNC139-030040- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE POLK READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 212 STATUS REPORTS WW 0212 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 212 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW SAT TO 60 N VCT TO 40 NW BPT. PARTS OF REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW MAY BE LOCALLY EXTENDED IN TIME AN HOUR OR TWO BEYOND 03/01Z. OTHERWISE, A NEW WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED. ..KERR..05/03/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...HGX...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 212 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC015-029-089-123-157-177-187-201-255-259-285-291-493-030100- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE AUSTIN BEXAR COLORADO DEWITT FORT BEND GONZALES GUADALUPE HARRIS KARNES KENDALL LAVACA LIBERTY WILSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 211 STATUS REPORTS WW 0211 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 211 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE LFK TO 55 NE HEZ TO 45 S GWO TO 30 SSE GWO TO 5 SSW GWO. PARTS OF REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW COULD BE LOCALLY EXTENDED IN TIME AN HOUR OR TWO BEYOND 00Z. OTHERWISE, A NEW WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED. ..KERR..05/02/25 ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 211 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS LAC003-009-011-025-029-039-079-107-115-030000- LA . LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE ALLEN AVOYELLES BEAUREGARD CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EVANGELINE RAPIDES TENSAS VERNON MSC001-007-015-019-021-025-029-043-049-051-063-069-079-083-087- 089-097-099-101-103-105-121-123-133-149-155-159-030000- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ATTALA CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLAY COPIAH GRENADA HINDS HOLMES JEFFERSON KEMPER READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 210 STATUS REPORTS WW 0210 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 210 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 N LUK TO 25 WNW CMH TO 10 SSW DUJ TO 5 SSE BFD. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0658 ..MOORE..05/02/25 ATTN...WFO...CLE...PBZ...ILN... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 210 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OHC047-049-089-097-030040- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE FAYETTE FRANKLIN LICKING MADISON PAC003-005-031-051-053-063-065-129-030040- PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG CLARION FAYETTE FOREST INDIANA JEFFERSON WESTMORELAND THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC MD 663 MD 0663 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 217... FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0663 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1048 PM CDT FRI MAY 02 2025 AREAS AFFECTED...DEEP SOUTH TEXAS CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 217... VALID 030348Z - 030545Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 217 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS POSING A CONTINUING RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND LOCALIZED STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS MAY REMAINED CONFINED NEAR AND TO THE WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE RIVER. HOWEVER, STORMS NOW FORMING EAST-SOUTHEAST OF COTULLA MAY IMPACT THE CORPUS CHRISTI VICINITY BY MIDNIGHT-1 AM CDT, WITH AT LEAST SOME RISK FOR SEVERE HAIL AND WIND. IT IS NOT CLEAR THAT A NEW SEVERE WEATHER WATCH WILL BE NEEDED FOR THE BROWNSVILLE AREA, BUT TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR THIS POSSIBILITY. DISCUSSION...THE SHALLOW LEADING EDGE OF THE SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ADVANCING COLD FRONT NOW APPEARS SOUTH OF COTULLA AND VICTORIA, WITH SOME CONTINUING INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE COTULLA VICINITY. A MORE INTENSE, DISCRETE STORM WHICH DEVELOPED NEAR THE FRONT TO THE WEST OF THE RIO GRANDE HAS MAINTAINED A PROPAGATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE DEEP-LAYER MEAN FLOW/SHEAR, NEAR THE RIVER, IN THE WAKE OF THE CONSOLIDATED REMNANTS OF A PRECEDING PAIR OF SUPERCELLS THAT INITIATED OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST. STRONGER RENEWED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ABOVE THE COLD POOL ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LEAD ACTIVITY IS MAINTAINING A PROPAGATION TO THE WEST OF THE THE RIVER, BUT PEAK INTENSITIES HAVE WEAKENED SOME, APPARENTLY IN RESPONSE TO THE ONSET OF BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING BENEATH WARM ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AIR. AS SOUTHWARD SUPPRESSION OF THE ELEVATED MIXED-LAYER AIR CONTINUES NEAR/NORTH OF THE SURFACE FRONT, IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE FRONTAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS BY 06-9Z, PERHAPS ACCOMPANIED BY SOME CONTINUING RISK FOR SEVERE HAIL AND WIND. ..KERR.. 05/03/2025 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...BRO... LAT...LON 28490065 28750000 28219838 28129684 27079671 26299705 26009755 25929856 26289979 26910094 28490065 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC MAY 3, 2025 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0800 PM CDT FRI MAY 02 2025 VALID 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTH TX/LA INTO THE WESTERN CAROLINAS... ...SUMMARY... STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT FROM PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH TEXAS NORTHEASTWARD TO THE CAROLINAS. ...PARTS OF CENTRAL/SOUTH TX... WIDELY SCATTERED SUPERCELLS ARE ONGOING THIS EVENING FROM PARTS OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL TX, WITHIN A STRONGLY UNSTABLE AND FAVORABLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. A THREAT FOR LARGE TO VERY LARGE HAIL, LOCALIZED SEVERE GUSTS, AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO WILL CONTINUE WITH THESE SUPERCELLS THROUGH MID EVENING. WHILE MLCINH WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE WITH TIME, THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR STORMS TO CLUSTER IN THE VICINITY OF A SOUTHWARD-MOVING COLD FRONT LATER TONIGHT, WHICH COULD EVENTUALLY BRING AN ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT INTO PARTS OF DEEP SOUTH TX. ...SOUTHEAST TX INTO THE ALLEGHENY PLATEAU... LARGE-SCALE ASCENT IN ADVANCE OF A SOUTHEASTWARD-MOVING MID/UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH MAY HELP TO MAINTAIN OCCASIONAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THROUGH THE EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT NEAR AND NORTH OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST VICINITY, POSING A THREAT OF LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE. OTHER ONGOING STORMS FROM CENTRAL AL/NORTH GA INTO PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS WILL TEND TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN WITH TIME WITH THE ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING/STABILIZATION, BUT AT LEAST A LOCALIZED SEVERE THREAT MAY PERSIST THROUGH MID/LATE EVENING AS OCCASIONALLY ORGANIZED CELLS/CLUSTERS MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD. A STRONG STORM OR TWO ALSO REMAINS POSSIBLE INTO PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST, WITH ISOLATED GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE. ..DEAN.. 05/03/2025 READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= +----------------------------------------------------------------------------+ HYPERTEXT PREPROCESSOR - DEVELOPED BY LU9DCE - VERSION 3
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