LU9DCE > ALERT 17.05.25 07:45z 1191 Lines 33586 Bytes #77 (0) @ WW BID : 2916_LU9DCE Read: GUEST Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 17-MAY25 Path: ED1ZAC<ED1ZAC<LU4ECL<LU9DCE Sent: 250517/0731Z 2916@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24 __ _ _ ___ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ ____ ( ) / )( \/ _ \( \ / __)( __) ( _ \( _ \/ ___) / (_/\) \/ (\__ )) D (( (__ ) _) ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \ \____/\____/(___/(____/ \___)(____) (____/(____/(____/ PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM) PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN) COPYRIGHT 2024 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO +----------------------------------------------------------------------------+ SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 273 WW 273 SEVERE TSTM OH VA WV 170330Z - 170900Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 273 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1130 PM EDT FRI MAY 16 2025 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHEAST OHIO WESTERN VIRGINIA WEST VIRGINIA * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 1130 PM UNTIL 500 AM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE SUMMARY...CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD SPREAD EASTWARD OVERNIGHT WHILE POSING A THREAT FOR MAINLY SCATTERED SEVERE/DAMAGING WINDS, WITH PEAK GUSTS UP TO 60-70 MPH. ISOLATED HAIL AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO MAY ALSO OCCUR. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF PARKERSBURG WV TO 5 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF BLUEFIELD WV. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 267...WW 269...WW 270...WW 271...WW 272... AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27040. ...GLEASON READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 272 WW 272 SEVERE TSTM OH PA WV 170155Z - 170800Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 272 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 955 PM EDT FRI MAY 16 2025 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN OHIO FAR SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 955 PM UNTIL 400 AM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD EASTWARD THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT WHILE POSING A THREAT FOR MAINLY SEVERE/DAMAGING WINDS. A TORNADO OR TWO MAY ALSO OCCUR. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF AKRON OH TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF WHEELING WV. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 265...WW 267...WW 269...WW 270...WW 271... AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27040. ...GLEASON READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC TORNADO WATCH 271 WW 271 TORNADO TN VA 170135Z - 170800Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 271 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 835 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2025 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE AND EASTERN TENNESSEE FAR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 835 PM UNTIL 300 AM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...BOTH SUPERCELLS AND A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD POSE A THREAT FOR A FEW TORNADOES THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS THEY SPREAD EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD. A STRONG TORNADO REMAINS POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY WITH ANY SUPERCELL THAT CAN BE MAINTAINED AHEAD OF THE LINE. SCATTERED SEVERE/DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR LIKELY, WITH PEAK GUSTS POTENTIALLY REACHING UP TO 60-75 MPH. OCCASIONAL LARGE HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF NASHVILLE TN TO 45 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF KNOXVILLE TN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 265...WW 267...WW 268...WW 269...WW 270... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035. ...GLEASON READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC TORNADO WATCH 270 WW 270 TORNADO AR MO MS TN 162350Z - 170700Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 270 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 650 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2025 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL FAR NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI WESTERN TENNESSEE * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 650 PM UNTIL 200 AM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...MULTIPLE SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD POSE A THREAT FOR A FEW TORNADOES THIS EVENING, WITH A STRONG TORNADO POSSIBLE WITH ANY PERSISTENT SUPERCELL. OTHERWISE, LARGE TO VERY LARGE HAIL (UP TO 2-3 INCHES IN DIAMETER) ALONG WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SEVERE/DAMAGING WINDS ALSO APPEAR LIKELY. PEAK GUSTS MAY REACH UP TO 65-75 MPH IF A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CAN FORM LATER THIS EVENING. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF RUSSELLVILLE AR TO 50 MILES EAST OF JACKSON TN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 262...WW 264...WW 265...WW 266...WW 267...WW 268...WW 269... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035. ...GLEASON READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC TORNADO WATCH 269 WW 269 TORNADO IN KY OH WV 162315Z - 170700Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 269 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 715 PM EDT FRI MAY 16 2025 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF FAR EASTERN INDIANA CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY WESTERN AND CENTRAL OHIO WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 715 PM UNTIL 300 AM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SEVERAL TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 80 MPH LIKELY SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY SUMMARY...MULTIPLE INTENSE SUPERCELLS WILL LIKELY PERSIST THIS EVENING AND INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THEY MOVE EASTWARD IN A VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. STRONG TORNADOES APPEAR LIKELY WITH ANY SUSTAINED/MATURE SUPERCELLS, ALONG WITH VERY LARGE HAIL UP TO 2-3 INCHES IN DIAMETER. WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS ALSO APPEAR LIKELY WITH ONE OR MORE CLUSTERS THAT ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP LATER THIS EVENING. PEAK GUSTS MAY REACH 70-80 MPH. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF COLUMBUS OH TO 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LONDON KY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 262...WW 263...WW 264...WW 265...WW 266...WW 267...WW 268... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040. ...GLEASON READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 267 WW 267 SEVERE TSTM TX 162200Z - 170500Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 267 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 500 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2025 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL INTO NORTH-CENTRAL/NORTHEAST TEXAS * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON FROM 500 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE SUMMARY...MULTIPLE SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THEY SHOULD POSE A THREAT FOR MAINLY LARGE TO VERY LARGE HAIL, WITH THE LARGEST HAILSTONES POTENTIALLY REACHING UP TO 2.5-3.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER. SOME THREAT FOR SEVERE/DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO MAY ALSO EXIST THROUGH THE EVENING. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF STEPHENVILLE TX TO 60 MILES SOUTH OF PARIS TX. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 262...WW 263...WW 264...WW 265...WW 266... AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030. ...GLEASON READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC TORNADO WATCH 265 WW 265 TORNADO IL IN KY MO 162000Z - 170300Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 265 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 300 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2025 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN INDIANA WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY FAR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 300 PM UNTIL 1000 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SEVERAL TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL AND SCATTERED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 80 MPH LIKELY SUMMARY...SUPERCELLS ONGOING ACROSS EASTERN MO AND WESTERN IL ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE EASTWARD INTO THE DESTABILIZING AIRMASS DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE REGION. ALL SEVERE HAZARDS, INCLUDING VERY LARGE HAIL UP TO 2.5" TO 3" IN DIAMETER AND STRONG TO INTENSE TORNADOES, ARE POSSIBLE. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF INDIANAPOLIS IN TO 40 MILES SOUTH OF PADUCAH KY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 261...WW 262...WW 263...WW 264... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040. ...MOSIER READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 273 STATUS REPORTS WW 0273 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 273 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..05/17/25 ATTN...WFO...RLX...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 273 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OHC167-170440- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE WASHINGTON VAC021-027-051-071-185-170440- VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLAND BUCHANAN DICKENSON GILES TAZEWELL WVC001-005-007-013-015-017-019-021-025-033-035-039-041-047-055- 063-067-073-075-081-083-085-087-089-091-095-097-101-105-107-109- 170440- WV . WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBOUR BOONE BRAXTON CALHOUN CLAY DODDRIDGE READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 272 STATUS REPORTS WW 0272 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 272 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E CMH TO 30 SSW CAK TO 15 SSE CLE. ..BROYLES..05/17/25 ATTN...WFO...CLE...PBZ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 272 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OHC013-019-029-031-059-067-081-099-111-119-121-133-151-153-155- 157-170440- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BELMONT CARROLL COLUMBIANA COSHOCTON GUERNSEY HARRISON JEFFERSON MAHONING MONROE MUSKINGUM NOBLE PORTAGE STARK SUMMIT TRUMBULL TUSCARAWAS PAC059-125-170440- PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GREENE WASHINGTON WVC009-029-049-051-061-069-103-170440- WV READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC TORNADO WATCH 271 STATUS REPORTS WW 0271 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 271 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..BROYLES..05/17/25 ATTN...WFO...MRX...OHX...HUN... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 271 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TNC001-003-007-009-011-013-015-021-025-027-031-035-037-041-043- 049-051-055-057-061-063-065-067-073-081-083-085-087-089-093-099- 101-103-105-107-111-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-129-133-135-137- 139-141-143-145-147-149-151-153-155-159-161-165-169-173-175-177- 181-185-187-189-170440- TN . TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BEDFORD BLEDSOE BLOUNT BRADLEY CAMPBELL CANNON CHEATHAM CLAIBORNE CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON DE KALB DICKSON FENTRESS FRANKLIN GILES GRAINGER GRUNDY HAMBLEN HAMILTON HANCOCK HAWKINS HICKMAN HOUSTON HUMPHREYS JACKSON JEFFERSON KNOX LAWRENCE LEWIS LINCOLN LOUDON MCMINN MACON MARION MARSHALL MAURY MEIGS MONROE MONTGOMERY MOORE MORGAN OVERTON PERRY PICKETT POLK PUTNAM RHEA ROANE READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC TORNADO WATCH 270 STATUS REPORTS WW 0270 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 270 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S RKR TO 35 SW JBR TO 25 SSW POF. ..BROYLES..05/17/25 ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 270 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC021-031-035-037-051-055-077-085-093-095-097-111-113-117-119- 123-125-147-170440- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS GARLAND GREENE LEE LONOKE MISSISSIPPI MONROE MONTGOMERY POINSETT POLK PRAIRIE PULASKI ST. FRANCIS SALINE WOODRUFF MSC003-009-033-093-117-137-139-141-143-170440- MS . MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALCORN BENTON DESOTO MARSHALL PRENTISS TATE TIPPAH TISHOMINGO TUNICA MOC069-155-170440- READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC TORNADO WATCH 269 STATUS REPORTS WW 0269 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 269 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE BWG TO 10 SSW LEX TO 40 N DAY. ..BROYLES..05/17/25 ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...JKL...RLX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 269 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS KYC001-003-009-011-013-017-019-021-023-025-037-043-045-049-051- 053-057-063-065-067-069-071-079-087-089-095-097-109-113-115-119- 121-125-127-129-131-133-135-137-147-151-153-155-159-161-165-169- 171-173-175-181-189-191-193-195-197-199-201-203-205-207-209-217- 231-235-237-170440- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAIR ALLEN BARREN BATH BELL BOURBON BOYD BOYLE BRACKEN BREATHITT CAMPBELL CARTER CASEY CLARK CLAY CLINTON CUMBERLAND ELLIOTT ESTILL FAYETTE FLEMING FLOYD GARRARD GREEN GREENUP HARLAN HARRISON JACKSON JESSAMINE JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX LAUREL LAWRENCE LEE LESLIE LETCHER LEWIS LINCOLN MCCREARY MADISON MAGOFFIN MARION MARTIN MASON MENIFEE METCALFE MONROE READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 268 STATUS REPORTS WW 0268 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 268 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW MIE TO 30 ENE MIE TO 40 ESE SBN. ..THORNTON..05/17/25 ATTN...WFO...LOT...IWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 268 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC001-003-170140- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS ALLEN OHC125-161-170140- OH . OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE PAULDING VAN WERT THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 267 STATUS REPORTS WW 0267 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 267 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW AUS TO 35 NW TPL TO 20 W CRS TO 10 SE DAL TO 20 SE DUA. ..HALBERT..05/17/25 ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 267 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC001-027-099-119-145-147-161-213-223-231-257-277-289-293-309- 331-349-379-395-397-467-491-170440- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANDERSON BELL CORYELL DELTA FALLS FANNIN FREESTONE HENDERSON HOPKINS HUNT KAUFMAN LAMAR LEON LIMESTONE MCLENNAN MILAM NAVARRO RAINS ROBERTSON ROCKWALL VAN ZANDT WILLIAMSON THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 266 STATUS REPORTS WW 0266 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 266 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW SBY TO 25 NW SBY TO 15 SE DOV TO 15 WNW ACY TO 40 E ACY. ..THORNTON..05/16/25 ATTN...WFO...PHI... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 266 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS DEC005-170040- DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE SUSSEX NJC009-170040- NJ . NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CAPE MAY ANZ431-452-453-454-455-170040- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC TORNADO WATCH 265 STATUS REPORTS WW 0265 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 265 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE POF TO 45 NNE BWG. ..BROYLES..05/17/25 ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...IND...LMK... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 265 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC019-043-077-143-170340- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK FLOYD JEFFERSON SCOTT KYC029-031-035-047-061-075-083-085-093-105-111-141-143-157-163- 177-185-213-219-221-223-227-170340- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BULLITT BUTLER CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN EDMONSON FULTON GRAVES GRAYSON HARDIN HICKMAN JEFFERSON LOGAN LYON MARSHALL MEADE MUHLENBERG OLDHAM SIMPSON TODD TRIGG TRIMBLE WARREN READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 264 STATUS REPORTS WW 0264 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 264 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE HSE TO 35 NNE ORF. WW 264 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 170300Z. ..THORNTON..05/17/25 ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...MHX...RNK... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 264 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS AMZ231-170300- CW . ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 263 STATUS REPORTS WW 0263 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 263 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE NHK TO 10 WSW CXY TO 15 ESE UNV. ..THORNTON..05/16/25 ATTN...WFO...LWX...CTP...PBZ... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 263 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MDC003-005-015-025-510-162340- MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CECIL HARFORD MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY PAC043-071-075-099-133-162340- PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DAUPHIN LANCASTER LEBANON PERRY YORK ANZ530-531-532-538-539-540-541-543-162340- READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC TORNADO WATCH 262 STATUS REPORTS WW 0262 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 262 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW RKR TO 20 NNW RUE TO 20 N FLP TO 15 ENE UNO TO 35 SW FAM TO 15 S BLV TO 35 SSW DEC. ..THORNTON..05/16/25 ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...LSX...PAH...SGF... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 262 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ARC005-023-029-049-063-065-067-075-083-089-115-121-127-129-135- 137-141-149-162340- AR . ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAXTER CLEBURNE CONWAY FULTON INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON LAWRENCE LOGAN MARION POPE RANDOLPH SCOTT SEARCY SHARP STONE VAN BUREN YELL ILC005-027-051-077-121-145-157-189-162340- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOND CLINTON FAYETTE JACKSON MARION PERRY RANDOLPH WASHINGTON READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC MD 831 MD 0831 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 269... FOR WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHERN AND EASTERN KENTUCKY...NORTHERN TENNESSEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0831 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1012 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2025 AREAS AFFECTED...WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA...SOUTHERN AND EASTERN KENTUCKY...NORTHERN TENNESSEE CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 269... VALID 170312Z - 170515Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 269 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...A THREAT FOR TORNADOES, LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 2 TO 3 HOURS. A FEW STRONG TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE. AS SEVERE STORMS MOVE TOWARD THE EDGE OF WW 269, AN EXTENSION OR NEW WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED. DISCUSSION...THE LATEST MOSAIC RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF SEVERE STORMS EXTENDING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. AHEAD OF THE STORMS, MODERATE INSTABILITY IS ANALYZED BY THE RAP FROM MIDDLE TENNESSEE NORTHWARD INTO CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY. THE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THIS INSTABILITY, WHICH WILL HELP MAINTAIN UPDRAFT INTENSITY. IN ADDITION, THE WSR-88D VWP AT NASHVILLE HAS STRONG DIRECTIONAL SHEAR IN THE LOWEST 1 KM, WITH 0-3 KM STORM-RELATIVE HELICITY NEAR 700 M2/S2. THIS SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A TORNADO THREAT WITH SUPERCELLS. A FEW STRONG TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MOST INTENSE SUPERCELLS. ALSO, THE RAP SHOWS A PLUME OF STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES EXTENDING EASTWARD ACROSS TENNESSEE AND SOUTHERN KENTUCKY, SUGGESTING THAT LARGE HAIL WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE SUPERCELLS. OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS, A GRADUAL TRANSITION TO A LINEAR MODE HAS OCCURRED AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THIS LINE WILL CATCH UP TO THE MORE DISCRETE CELLS. AS THIS HAPPENS, THE WIND-DAMAGE THREAT WILL INCREASE AND BECOME MORE DOMINANT. SEVERE GUSTS EXCEEDING 75 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE FASTER MOVING PARTS OF THE LINE. ..BROYLES/GLEASON.. 05/17/2025 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...RLX...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG... LAT...LON 36168340 37148211 37908175 38468189 38658238 38518287 37988376 37388523 36958743 36668807 36348817 36118765 36088558 36168340 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...140-170 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...4.00+ IN READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC CENTER PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK (PWO) PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1141 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2025 ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE SELECT A GENERAL AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... * LOCATIONS... KENTUCKY SOUTHERN INDIANA SOUTHERN ILLINOIS NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI EXTREME NORTHEASTERN ARKANSAS EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN OHIO * HAZARDS... WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS, SOME HURRICANE FORCE SEVERAL TORNADOES, A FEW INTENSE WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL, SOME BASEBALL SIZE * SUMMARY... A REGIONAL OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID MISSISSIPPI, OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS. THIS WILL INCLUDE INTENSE SUPERCELLS WITH STRONG, POTENTIALLY LONG-TRACK TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL. THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 75 MPH WILL INCREASE INTO THIS EVENING AS STORMS GROW INTO LARGER CLUSTERS. PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REVIEW YOUR SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY PROCEDURES FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF DANGEROUS WEATHER TODAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO, WEATHER.GOV, OR OTHER MEDIA FOR WATCHES AND WARNINGS. A WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. IF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA, MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY, IDEALLY IN AN READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC MAY 17, 2025 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0747 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2025 VALID 170100Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EXTREME NORTHEAST ARKANSAS INTO CENTRAL KENTUCKY... ...SUMMARY... A REGIONAL OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID MISSISSIPPI, OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS. THIS WILL INCLUDE INTENSE SUPERCELLS WITH STRONG, POTENTIALLY LONG-TRACK TORNADOES AND VERY LARGE HAIL. THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 75 MPH WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AS STORMS GROW INTO LARGER CLUSTERS. ...01Z UPDATE... SEASONALLY DEEP CYCLONE IS SHIFTING EAST ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY TOWARD THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION. EARLY-EVENING SATELLITE IMAGERY SUPPORTS THIS WITH THE CENTER OF THE UPPER LOW CURRENTLY OVER NORTHERN MN. MULTIPLE SHORT-WAVE TROUGHS ARE ROTATING INTO/THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROUGH, BUT THE PRIMARY ZONE OF NOTEWORTHY ASCENT IS CURRENTLY AIDING AN ELONGATED CORRIDOR OF DEEP CONVECTION FROM CENTRAL INDIANA, SOUTHWEST ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS INTO CENTRAL TX, WHERE ONLY THE SOUTHERN INFLUENCE OF THIS UPPER TROUGH IS EVIDENT. MULTIPLE LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS HAVE EVOLVED ALONG THIS CORRIDOR, ESPECIALLY FROM SOUTHERN INDIANA INTO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS. THIS ZONE IS STRONGLY SHEARED, STRONGLY BUOYANT, AND ADEQUATELY FORCED FOR THE CONTINUATION OF SEVERE SUPERCELLS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR INTENSE UPDRAFTS, ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LONG-TRACK TORNADOES. VERY LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE WINDS ARE ALSO LIKELY WITH THIS ACTIVITY. THROUGH LATE EVENING, THE PRIMARY CORRIDOR FOR THE MOST CONCENTRATED SEVERE WILL EXTEND FROM NORTHEAST ARKANSAS INTO CENTRAL KENTUCKY. LATER TONIGHT, SOME POTENTIAL FOR UPSCALE GROWTH MAY YIELD A FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS. THIS ACTIVITY WILL MOVE TOWARD THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS WITH AN ATTENDANT SEVERE RISK, INCLUDING ALL SEVERE HAZARDS. ..DARROW.. 05/17/2025 READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= +----------------------------------------------------------------------------+ HYPERTEXT PREPROCESSOR - DEVELOPED BY LU9DCE - VERSION 3
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