LU9DCE > ALERT 25.07.25 07:45z 82 Lines 2973 Bytes #146 (0) @ WW
BID : 7475_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 25-JUL
Path: ED1ZAC<ED1ZAC<LU4ECL<LU9DCE
Sent: 250725/0731Z 7475@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
JAVA SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (JSN)
COPYRIGHT 2025 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF FRI JUL 25 03:31:02 UTC 2025
NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF FRI JUL 25 03:31:02 UTC 2025.
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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF FRI JUL 25 03:31:02 UTC 2025
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF FRI JUL 25 03:31:02 UTC
2025.
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SPC JUL 25, 2025 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2025
VALID 250100Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PARTS OF
KS/NORTHWEST OK NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...AND ALSO
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
LOCALLY DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT
FROM PARTS OF MISSOURI INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION. ISOLATED
HAIL AND STRONG TO SEVERE GUSTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF
THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS.
...PARTS OF MO INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...
A LOOSELY ORGANIZED MCS HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST MO
THIS EVENING. THIS SYSTEM MAY CONTINUE MOVING EAST-NORTHEAST ALONG A
SURFACE BOUNDARY TONIGHT, AIDED BY VERY RICH DOWNSTREAM MOISTURE AND
MODERATE BUOYANCY (AS OBSERVED IN THE 00Z ILX SOUNDING). WHILE THIS
SYSTEM HAS LARGELY REMAINED SUBSEVERE THUS FAR, AND LOW/MIDLEVEL
FLOW IS FORECAST TO REMAIN RELATIVELY MODEST, LOCALLY DAMAGING GUSTS
CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS IT APPROACHES PARTS OF CENTRAL/NORTHERN IL
AND NORTHWEST IN LATER TONIGHT.
FARTHER EAST, CONVECTION HAS GENERALLY WEAKENED OR MOVED INTO
ONTARIO FROM SOUTHERN LOWER MI THIS EVENING. STRONG STORMS REMAIN
OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST ONTARIO, AND THESE STORMS MAY APPROACH PARTS
OF WESTERN NY WITH ISOLATED STRONG TO LOCALLY DAMAGING GUSTS BEFORE
SUBSIDING.
...CENTRAL/NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
WIDELY SCATTERED STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS MAY CONTINUE
THROUGH AT LEAST DUSK ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN HIGH
PLAINS, WITHIN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF
25-35 KT WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR HAIL WITH THE STRONGEST DISCRETE
CELLS, WHILE ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE GUSTS ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE,
ESPECIALLY IF ANY NOTABLE OUTFLOW CONSOLIDATION OCCURS LATER THIS
EVENING.
..DEAN.. 07/25/2025
READ MORE
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