LU9DCE > ALERT    05.08.25 07:45z 341 Lines 8283 Bytes #157 (0) @ WW
BID : 8203_LU9DCE
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Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 05-AUG
Path: ED1ZAC<ED1ZAC<GB7CIP<VK2RZ<LU9DCE
Sent: 250805/0730Z 8203@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24

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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 573

WW 573 SEVERE TSTM MT 042240Z - 050500Z


URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 573
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
440 PM MDT MON AUG 4 2025

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN MONTANA

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 440 PM UNTIL
1100 PM MDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
MPH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD SPREAD EAST-NORTHEASTWARD
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WHILE POSING A THREAT FOR MAINLY
SCATTERED SEVERE/DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60-75 MPH. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL
AROUND 1-1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER MAY ALSO OCCUR WITH ANY OF THE
STRONGER CELLS THAT CAN PERSIST.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES WEST OF GREAT
FALLS MT TO 75 MILES SOUTH OF GLASGOW MT. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION
OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 571...WW 572...

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO
1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A
FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR
24035.

...GLEASON


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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 572

WW 572 SEVERE TSTM CO NM OK TX 042205Z - 050400Z


URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 572
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
405 PM MDT MON AUG 4 2025

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST COLORADO
FAR NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO
THE WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
THE FAR NORTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 405 PM UNTIL
1000 PM MDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
MPH POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...SLOW-MOVING SUPERCELLS SHOULD POSE A THREAT FOR MAINLY
LARGE TO VERY LARGE HAIL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PEAK HAILSTONE
DIAMETERS MAY REACH UP TO 2-3 INCHES ON AN ISOLATED BASIS.
OCCASIONAL SEVERE/DAMAGING WINDS COULD ALSO OCCUR IF ANY CLUSTERS
CAN FORM, ALTHOUGH THIS POTENTIAL REMAINS UNCERTAIN.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF
LAMAR CO TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF CLAYTON NM. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 571...

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO
3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A
FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR
32010.

...GLEASON


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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 573 STATUS REPORTS

WW 0573 STATUS UPDATES


STATUS REPORT ON WW 573

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW SHR TO
55 SW GGW TO 60 SE GPI.

..WEINMAN..08/05/25

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...TFX...GGW...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 573

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

MTC003-005-015-033-041-051-071-073-087-099-101-103-105-050340-

MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BIG HORN BLAINE CHOUTEAU
GARFIELD HILL LIBERTY
PHILLIPS PONDERA ROSEBUD
TETON TOOLE TREASURE
VALLEY


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.


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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 572 STATUS REPORTS

WW 0572 STATUS UPDATES


STATUS REPORT ON WW 572

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE TAD TO
45 W SPD TO 25 WNW SPD TO 5 SSE SPD TO 5 SSW EHA.

..JEWELL..08/05/25

ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...AMA...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 572

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

COC009-071-050440-

CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BACA LAS ANIMAS


NMC059-050440-

NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

UNION


OKC025-050440-

OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CIMARRON


TXC111-050440-

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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 571 STATUS REPORTS

WW 0571 STATUS UPDATES


STATUS REPORT ON WW 571

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW LIC
TO 30 ENE GLD TO 10 WSW MHN TO 5 SE TOR TO 55 WNW CDR.

..JEWELL..08/05/25

ATTN...WFO...GLD...BOU...LBF...CYS...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 571

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

COC017-063-073-050340-

CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHEYENNE KIT CARSON LINCOLN


KSC071-181-199-050340-

KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

GREELEY SHERMAN WALLACE


NEC013-045-161-165-050340-

NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BOX BUTTE DAWES SHERIDAN
SIOUX



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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF TUE AUG 5 03:10:19 UTC 2025

NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF TUE AUG 5 03:10:19 UTC
2025.

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SPC AUG 5, 2025 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0803 PM CDT MON AUG 04 2025

VALID 050100Z - 051200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM
CENTRAL/EASTERN MONTANA INTO THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...

...SUMMARY...
THUNDERSTORMS WITH SEVERE GUSTS AND LARGE TO VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING FROM PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE DAKOTAS AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.

...NORTHERN ROCKIES VICINITY...

AN UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH, NOW PIVOTING ACROSS ID WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD EAST TONIGHT. AN ARC OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS EXTENDING
ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN MT IS EXPECTED POSE A SEVERE WIND/HAIL
RISK THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS CONVECTION DEVELOPS NORTH AND EAST ACROSS
WW 573. REFERENCE MCD 1887 FOR SHORT TERM DETAILS. FURTHER WEST
ACROSS ID AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN MT, THE MARGINAL RISK HAS BEEN
REMOVED AS THE MAIN FORCING SHIFTS NORTHEAST WHILE INSTABILITY AND
SHEAR GRADUALLY DECREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...

ISOLATED CELLS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A RISK FOR LARGE TO VERY LARGE
HAIL AND SEVERE/DAMAGING GUSTS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. AN
INCREASING LOW-LEVEL JET THIS EVENING WILL SUSTAIN CONVECTION, AND
MAY BRIEFLY INCREASE THE TORNADO RISK THIS EVENING. REFERENCE MCD
1888 FOR MORE SHORT TERM DETAILS.

..LEITMAN.. 08/05/2025


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