LU9DCE > ALERT 05.08.25 07:45z 341 Lines 8283 Bytes #157 (0) @ WW BID : 8203_LU9DCE Read: GUEST Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 05-AUG Path: ED1ZAC<ED1ZAC<GB7CIP<VK2RZ<LU9DCE Sent: 250805/0730Z 8203@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24 __ _ _ ___ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ ____ ( ) / )( \/ _ \( \ / __)( __) ( _ \( _ \/ ___) / (_/\) \/ (\__ )) D (( (__ ) _) ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \ \____/\____/(___/(____/ \___)(____) (____/(____/(____/ +----------------------------------------------------------------------------+ PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM) JAVA SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (JSN) COPYRIGHT 2025 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO +----------------------------------------------------------------------------+ SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 573 WW 573 SEVERE TSTM MT 042240Z - 050500Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 573 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 440 PM MDT MON AUG 4 2025 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MONTANA * EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 440 PM UNTIL 1100 PM MDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD SPREAD EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WHILE POSING A THREAT FOR MAINLY SCATTERED SEVERE/DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60-75 MPH. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AROUND 1-1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER MAY ALSO OCCUR WITH ANY OF THE STRONGER CELLS THAT CAN PERSIST. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES WEST OF GREAT FALLS MT TO 75 MILES SOUTH OF GLASGOW MT. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 571...WW 572... AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035. ...GLEASON READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 572 WW 572 SEVERE TSTM CO NM OK TX 042205Z - 050400Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 572 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 405 PM MDT MON AUG 4 2025 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST COLORADO FAR NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO THE WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE THE FAR NORTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE * EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 405 PM UNTIL 1000 PM MDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE SUMMARY...SLOW-MOVING SUPERCELLS SHOULD POSE A THREAT FOR MAINLY LARGE TO VERY LARGE HAIL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PEAK HAILSTONE DIAMETERS MAY REACH UP TO 2-3 INCHES ON AN ISOLATED BASIS. OCCASIONAL SEVERE/DAMAGING WINDS COULD ALSO OCCUR IF ANY CLUSTERS CAN FORM, ALTHOUGH THIS POTENTIAL REMAINS UNCERTAIN. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF LAMAR CO TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF CLAYTON NM. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 571... AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 32010. ...GLEASON READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 573 STATUS REPORTS WW 0573 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 573 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW SHR TO 55 SW GGW TO 60 SE GPI. ..WEINMAN..08/05/25 ATTN...WFO...BYZ...TFX...GGW... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 573 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MTC003-005-015-033-041-051-071-073-087-099-101-103-105-050340- MT . MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BIG HORN BLAINE CHOUTEAU GARFIELD HILL LIBERTY PHILLIPS PONDERA ROSEBUD TETON TOOLE TREASURE VALLEY THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 572 STATUS REPORTS WW 0572 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 572 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE TAD TO 45 W SPD TO 25 WNW SPD TO 5 SSE SPD TO 5 SSW EHA. ..JEWELL..08/05/25 ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 572 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC009-071-050440- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BACA LAS ANIMAS NMC059-050440- NM . NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE UNION OKC025-050440- OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CIMARRON TXC111-050440- READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 571 STATUS REPORTS WW 0571 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 571 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW LIC TO 30 ENE GLD TO 10 WSW MHN TO 5 SE TOR TO 55 WNW CDR. ..JEWELL..08/05/25 ATTN...WFO...GLD...BOU...LBF...CYS... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 571 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS COC017-063-073-050340- CO . COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEYENNE KIT CARSON LINCOLN KSC071-181-199-050340- KS . KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE GREELEY SHERMAN WALLACE NEC013-045-161-165-050340- NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOX BUTTE DAWES SHERIDAN SIOUX READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF TUE AUG 5 03:10:19 UTC 2025 NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF TUE AUG 5 03:10:19 UTC 2025. =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC AUG 5, 2025 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0803 PM CDT MON AUG 04 2025 VALID 050100Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL/EASTERN MONTANA INTO THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... THUNDERSTORMS WITH SEVERE GUSTS AND LARGE TO VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING FROM PARTS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE DAKOTAS AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. ...NORTHERN ROCKIES VICINITY... AN UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH, NOW PIVOTING ACROSS ID WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EAST TONIGHT. AN ARC OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS EXTENDING ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN MT IS EXPECTED POSE A SEVERE WIND/HAIL RISK THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS CONVECTION DEVELOPS NORTH AND EAST ACROSS WW 573. REFERENCE MCD 1887 FOR SHORT TERM DETAILS. FURTHER WEST ACROSS ID AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN MT, THE MARGINAL RISK HAS BEEN REMOVED AS THE MAIN FORCING SHIFTS NORTHEAST WHILE INSTABILITY AND SHEAR GRADUALLY DECREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. ...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS... ISOLATED CELLS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A RISK FOR LARGE TO VERY LARGE HAIL AND SEVERE/DAMAGING GUSTS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. AN INCREASING LOW-LEVEL JET THIS EVENING WILL SUSTAIN CONVECTION, AND MAY BRIEFLY INCREASE THE TORNADO RISK THIS EVENING. REFERENCE MCD 1888 FOR MORE SHORT TERM DETAILS. ..LEITMAN.. 08/05/2025 READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= +----------------------------------------------------------------------------+ JAVA - DEVELOPED BY LU9DCE - VERSION 4.1
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