LU9DCE > ALERT    13.08.25 07:45z 66 Lines 2158 Bytes #165 (0) @ WW
BID : 8685_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 13-AUG
Path: ED1ZAC<ED1ZAC<GB7CIP<VK2RZ<LU9DCE
Sent: 250813/0730Z 8685@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24

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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF WED AUG 13 03:03:01 UTC 2025

NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF WED AUG 13 03:03:01 UTC 2025.

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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF WED AUG 13 03:03:01 UTC 2025

NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF WED AUG 13 03:03:01 UTC
2025.

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SPC AUG 13, 2025 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0741 PM CDT TUE AUG 12 2025

VALID 130100Z - 131200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A FEW STRONG STORMS, WITH GUSTY WINDS, MAY LINGER THIS EVENING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MIDWEST.

...01Z UPDATE...

BOUNDARY-LAYER COOLING IS EXPECTED TO FURTHER WEAKEN CONVECTION
AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING. ACROSS MOST OF THE CONUS, UPDRAFT
INTENSITY HAS GRADUALLY WANED OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS, WITH ONLY A
FEW ROBUST STORMS LINGERING ALONG A CORRIDOR FROM NORTHERN IN INTO
SOUTHEAST LOWER MI. LAPSE RATES ARE NOT PARTICULARLY STEEP ACROSS
THE MIDWEST WITH ROUGHLY 6.3 C/KM VALUE NOTED ON THE DTX SOUNDING
THIS EVENING. WHILE PARAMETERS DO NOT APPEAR PARTICULARLY FAVORABLE
FOR SEVERE, A FEW ROBUST UPDRAFTS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE, PARTIALLY
AIDED BY APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH. LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS WOULD BE THE
PRIMARY CONCERN, BUT OVERALL THE SEVERE RISK APPEARS TOO LOW TO
WARRANT MRGL RISK THE REST OF TONIGHT.

..DARROW.. 08/13/2025


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