ED1ZAC - READ ALERT 9

LU9DCE > ALERT 16.03.25 10:45z 425 Lines 13047 Bytes #14 (0) @ WW BID : 7417_LU9DCE Read: GUEST Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 16-MAR25 Path: ED1ZAC<ED1ZAC<LU4ECL<LU9DCE Sent: 250316/1030Z 7417@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24 __ _ _ ___ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ ____ ( ) / )( \/ _ \( \ / __)( __) ( _ \( _ \/ ___) / (_/\) \/ (\__ )) D (( (__ ) _) ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \ \____/\____/(___/(____/ \___)(____) (____/(____/(____/ PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM) PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN) COPYRIGHT 2025 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO SESSION - 05E9490351ED5441879F64AAD986F3A16DDA2EDD4C40392E1484F4428A72D9DA6D +----------------------------------------------------------------------------+ SPC TORNADO WATCH 49 WW 49 TORNADO AL FL GA CW 160045Z - 160800Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 49 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 845 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2025 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WESTERN AND CENTRAL GEORGIA COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 845 PM UNTIL 400 AM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SEVERAL TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY SUMMARY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE PRIMARY RISKS WILL BE TORNADOES, A COUPLE OF WHICH MAY BE STRONG, DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS, AND LARGE HAIL. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF GADSDEN AL TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FL. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 46...WW 47...WW 48... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040. ...BUNTING READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC TORNADO WATCH 49 STATUS REPORTS WW 0049 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 49 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW PNS TO 25 SSW GZH TO 20 E GZH TO 20 WNW TOI TO 15 NE TOI TO 15 WSW AUO TO 20 NW AUO TO 20 SE ANB TO 25 E ANB TO 30 S RMG TO 20 NE RMG. ..JEWELL..03/16/25 ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 49 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ALC005-011-017-031-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-081-087-109-111- 113-160640- AL . ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARBOUR BULLOCK CHAMBERS COFFEE COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON LEE MACON PIKE RANDOLPH RUSSELL FLC005-033-059-063-091-113-131-133-160640- FL . FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BAY ESCAMBIA HOLMES JACKSON OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON WASHINGTON READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC TORNADO WATCH 48 STATUS REPORTS WW 0048 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 48 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW CHA TO 15 S CSV TO 30 SE TYS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0216 ..MOORE..03/16/25 ATTN...WFO...FFC...MRX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 48 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS GAC047-055-083-111-123-129-187-213-227-281-291-295-311-313- 160340- GA . GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CATOOSA CHATTOOGA DADE FANNIN GILMER GORDON LUMPKIN MURRAY PICKENS TOWNS UNION WALKER WHITE WHITFIELD NCC039-160340- NC . NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CHEROKEE TNC007-011-065-107-121-123-139-143-160340- READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC MD 219 MD 0219 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY FOR CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0219 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1247 AM CDT SUN MAR 16 2025 AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY VALID 160547Z - 160645Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...GRADUAL DESTABILIZATION WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUED THREAT OF WIND DAMAGE AND A FEW TORNADOES INTO CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST GA AND THE EASTERN FL PANHANDLE THROUGH EARLY MORNING. A NEW TORNADO MAY BE NEEDED AFTER 06Z. DISCUSSION...A BAND OF STORMS WITH EMBEDDED BOW/SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD INTO WEST CENTRAL GA, WITH CONTINUED STORM DEVELOPMENT FARTHER SOUTHWEST ALONG A CONFLUENCE ZONE ACROSS SOUTHEAST AL. THE STORMS ARE ALONG THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE RICHER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE, BUT A 70 KT LOW-LEVEL JET WILL RESULT IN SUFFICIENT MOISTURE TRANSPORT NEAR/JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE TO MAINTAIN THE CONVECTION FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. GIVEN THE VERY STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR/LARGE HODOGRAPHS, THE POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL WIND DAMAGE AND EMBEDDED CIRCULATIONS/TORNADOES WILL PERSIST. THUS, A NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED INTO CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST GA AND THE EASTERN FL PANHANDLE AFTER 06Z. ..THOMPSON/SMITH.. 03/16/2025 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...JAX...FFC...TAE... LAT...LON 33318405 34148361 33888277 32888240 32038286 31438316 29898384 29788541 31298501 31928468 33318405 READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC MD 218 MD 0218 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 49... FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0218 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1119 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2025 AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 49... VALID 160419Z - 160615Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 49 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...TWO LONG-TRACK SUPERCELLS ACROSS EASTERN/SOUTHEASTERN AL WILL POSE A RISK FOR SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES DOWNSTREAM INTO FAR WESTERN GA OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. DISCUSSION...TWO LEADING SUPERCELLS ACROSS EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN AL HAVE BOTH RECENTLY PRODUCED TORNADOES BASED ON KEOX AND KMXX VELOCITY AND DUAL POL DATA. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS JUST AHEAD OF THESE CELLS SHOW 30-40 MPH LOW-LEVEL WINDS ARE ADVECTING HIGH-QUALITY MOISTURE (MID 60S DEWPOINTS) AHEAD OF THE STORMS. THIS SUGGESTS THAT ALTHOUGH THESE CELLS ARE APPROACHING THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE EFFECTIVE WARM SECTOR, THEY WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT FOR THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, REGIONAL VWPS CONTINUE TO SAMPLE 0-1 KM SRH ON THE ORDER OF 500 M2/S2, WHICH IS SUPPORTING STP VALUES ON THE ORDER OF 2-4 IN PROXIMITY TO THE STORMS/WITHIN THE INFLOW REGION. BASED ON THIS ENVIRONMENT AND OBSERVED ROTATIONAL VELOCITIES (50-60 KNOTS AT TIMES), THESE CELLS WILL CONTINUE TO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT (EF-2+) TORNADOES IN THE SHORT TERM. ..MOORE.. 03/16/2025 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB... LAT...LON 31328599 31348619 31498626 32448576 32798582 33058591 33338577 33478531 33438489 33088466 32568462 32188472 31858498 31568533 31438562 31328599 READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC CENTER PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK (PWO) PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0345 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2025 ...OUTBREAK OF TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE DEEP SOUTH AND TENNESSEE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... * LOCATIONS... ALABAMA EASTERN MISSISSIPPI SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA WESTERN GEORGIA THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE MIDDLE AND EASTERN TENNESSEE * HAZARDS... NUMEROUS TORNADOES, SEVERAL INTENSE AND LONG TRACK WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS, SOME HURRICANE FORCE SCATTERED LARGE HAIL, SOME BASEBALL SIZE * SUMMARY... A TORNADO OUTBREAK IS ONGOING ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES. NUMEROUS SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES, SOME OF WHICH MAY BE LONG-TRACK AND POTENTIALLY VIOLENT, SHOULD CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. THE SEVERE RISK SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS EASTERN MISSISSIPPI INTO ALABAMA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING, AND REACH WESTERN PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND GEORGIA TONIGHT. PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REVIEW YOUR SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY PROCEDURES FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF DANGEROUS WEATHER TODAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO, WEATHER.GOV, OR OTHER MEDIA FOR WATCHES AND WARNINGS. A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES TO FORM DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED FOR READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC MAR 16, 2025 0600 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK SPC 1200Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1224 AM CDT SUN MAR 16 2025 VALID 161200Z - 171200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA... ...SUMMARY... SPORADIC DAMAGING WIND SWATHS AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS THIS MORNING THROUGH DUSK ACROSS A BROAD PORTION OF THE EAST. ...OH VALLEY/NORTHERN MIDDLE ATLANTIC... SEASONALLY STRONG UPPER TROUGH, THOUGH BIMODAL IN NATURE, WILL SHIFT INTO THE OH VALLEY/SOUTHEAST BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. AHEAD OF THE MAIN TROUGH, A LEAD MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX WILL TRANSLATE ACROSS EASTERN OH/WESTERN PA WITH 500MB SPEEDS IN EXCESS OF 120KT. THIS FEATURE WILL BE PARTLY RESPONSIBLE FOR SUSTAINING A SURFACE LOW THAT SHOULD TRACK FROM SOUTHEAST LOWER MI INTO ON BY EARLY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONALLY, LLJ IS FORECAST TO INCREASE MARKEDLY ACROSS WESTERN PA EARLY IN THE PERIOD, AND THIS WILL AID MOISTENING AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE. EARLY THIS MORNING, AN ELONGATED CORRIDOR OF CONVECTION/PRECIPITATION EXTENDS FROM THE FL PANHANDLE, NORTHEAST INTO OH. WARM ADVECTION WILL LIKELY MAINTAIN THIS ACTIVITY WHICH WILL BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A SECONDARY BAND OF CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP ALONG/AHEAD OF THE FRONT BY MID-LATE MORNING, AND AN UPWARD EVOLVING, STRONGLY FORCED LINE OF STORMS, AND A FEW EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS, WILL SURGE EAST INTO WESTERN PA. DAMAGING WINDS SEEM PLAUSIBLE WITH THIS CONVECTION, AND PROFILES ALSO FAVOR SOME RISK FOR A FEW BRIEF TORNADOES. ...SOUTHEAST... MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS WILL FALL ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. EARLY IN THE PERIOD AS LOW-LATITUDE JET CORE SHIFTS EAST ALONG THE GULF COAST INTO GA. THIS WILL ENSURE THE PRIMARY SYNOPTIC FRONT PROGRESSES STEADILY EAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. BY 18Z THE WIND SHIFT SHOULD EXTEND FROM THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS INTO THE EASTERN FL PANHANDLE. SUBSEQUENT MOVEMENT WILL RESULT IN THE FRONT ADVANCING INTO THE SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA BY 17/12Z. SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTION, WITH SOME RISK FOR SUPERCELLS, WILL BE NOTED AHEAD OF THE SURGING BOUNDARY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS EXHIBIT VERY STRONG 0-6KM BULK SHEAR, AND AMPLE ESRH WILL BE MORE THAN ADEQUATE FOR A RISK OF A FEW TORNADOES. STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ALSO SUGGEST THE MORE ROBUST UPDRAFTS SHOULD GENERATE HAIL. OVERALL, SEVERE THREAT WILL SHIFT EAST/SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. ..DARROW/MOORE.. 03/16/2025 READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC MAR 16, 2025 0600 UTC DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK SPC 0600Z DAY 2 OUTLOOK DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1241 AM CDT SUN MAR 16 2025 VALID 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY ON MONDAY ACROSS FAR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA, AND ACROSS PARTS OF THE WEST, BUT NO SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED. ...DISCUSSION... THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR CAPE HATTERAS, NORTH CAROLINA EARLY IN THE PERIOD. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A MID-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING THROUGH CALIFORNIA. STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST, AND FROM THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. NO SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE CONTINENTAL U.S. ..BROYLES.. 03/16/2025 READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= +----------------------------------------------------------------------------+ ARGEN-X BBS FIDONET - TELNET ARGENX.KOZOW.COM PORT 23000 HYPERTEXT PREPROCESSOR - DEVELOPED BY LU9DCE - VERSION 3
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