LU9DCE > ALERT 30.08.25 07:45z 216 Lines 6370 Bytes #183 (0) @ WW BID : 9664_LU9DCE Read: GUEST Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 30-AUG Path: ED1ZAC<ED1ZAC<LU4ECL<LU9DCE Sent: 250830/0731Z 9664@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24 __ _ _ ___ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ ____ ( ) / )( \/ _ \( \ / __)( __) ( _ \( _ \/ ___) / (_/\) \/ (\__ )) D (( (__ ) _) ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \ \____/\____/(___/(____/ \___)(____) (____/(____/(____/ +----------------------------------------------------------------------------+ PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM) JAVA SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (JSN) COPYRIGHT 2025 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO +----------------------------------------------------------------------------+ SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 604 WW 604 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NM OK TX 292100Z - 300400Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 604 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 400 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST COLORADO FAR SOUTHWEST KANSAS NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 400 PM UNTIL 1100 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE SUMMARY...ONGOING STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHEAST NM AND SOUTHEAST CO ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING, POTENTIALLY REACHING THE WESTERN TX AND OK PANHANDLES. ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE SOUTHERN CO/KS BORDER. THE ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTS LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF LAMAR CO TO 15 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF TUCUMCARI NM. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035. ...MOSIER READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 604 STATUS REPORTS WW 0604 STATUS UPDATES STATUS REPORT ON WW 604 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E TCC TO 35 SSE DHT. ..SPC..08/30/25 ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...DDC...ABQ...AMA... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 604 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC117-359-300440- TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE DEAF SMITH OLDHAM THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC MD 2023 MD 2023 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 604... FOR SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2023 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0909 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025 AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 604... VALID 300209Z - 300415Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 604 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...GUSTY WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY STORMS AS THEY PROPAGATE SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING. DISCUSSION...SEVERAL THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS PERSIST THIS EVENING ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS FROM NORTHWEST KS INTO EAST CENTRAL NM. THIS ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE AIDED BY A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH THAT IS FLATTENING THE RIDGE OVER CO. 00Z SOUNDINGS FROM BOTH AMA AND DDC EXHIBITED AROUND 7-7.5 C/KM LAPSE RATES, AND MORE THAN ADEQUATE SHEAR FOR MAINTAINING THESE CLUSTERS AS THEY PROPAGATE SOUTHEAST. WHILE LARGE-SCALE SUPPORT WILL CONTINUE TO ENCOURAGE SOME LONGEVITY, BUOYANCY IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG, ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL INFLOW. GUSTY WINDS ARE THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THESE STORMS AS THEY MOVE SOUTHEAST, BUT A NEW WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED DOWNSTREAM. ..DARROW.. 08/30/2025 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...ABQ... LAT...LON 35020341 36250183 37090193 37670288 38750140 36190105 34760273 35020341 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= SPC AUG 30, 2025 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0738 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2025 VALID 300100Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... THUNDERSTORMS WITH POTENTIAL FOR HAIL AND ISOLATED SEVERE GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM EARLY TO MID EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. ...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY, NORTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW IS EVIDENT OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL U.S. WITH A RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE, A MOIST AIRMASS IS LOCATED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS, WHERE DEWPOINTS ARE MOSTLY IN THE 60S F. AN AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY IS ANALYZED ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE MOIST AIRMASS FROM FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD INTO WEST-CENTRAL NEBRASKA. SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING NEAR THE INSTABILITY AXIS, WITH A FEW THAT ARE SEVERE. THE WIND PROFILE ON THE WSR-88D VWP AT DODGE CITY APPEARS TO BE REPRESENTATIVE ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS, WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR NEAR 45 KNOTS AND STRONG MID-LEVEL SPEED SHEAR. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT FROM EARLY TO MID EVENING, MAINLY WITH THE STORMS THAT ARE CLOSE TO THE INSTABILITY AXIS. HAIL AND ISOLATED SEVERE GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. THE SEVERE THREAT WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH AS INSTABILITY DECREASES OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ..BROYLES.. 08/30/2025 READ MORE =#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#= +----------------------------------------------------------------------------+ JAVA - DEVELOPED BY LU9DCE - VERSION 4.1
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