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W7EES  > SWPC     24.06.19 03:00l 45 Lines 1825 Bytes #7 (0) @ WW
BID : 9672_W7EES
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Sent: 190624/0053Z 9672@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQK6.0.18

Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 174 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Jun 2019

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22/2100Z to
23/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (24 Jun, 25 Jun, 26 Jun).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 363 km/s at 22/2104Z.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (24 Jun, 26
Jun) and quiet to active levels on day two (25 Jun).

III.  Event probabilities 24 Jun-26 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           23 Jun 067
Predicted   24 Jun-26 Jun 067/067/067
90 Day Mean        23 Jun 071

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 22 Jun  005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Jun  004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Jun-26 Jun  007/008-008/012-009/010

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Jun-26 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/30/15
Minor Storm           05/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/20/15
Minor Storm           25/35/25
Major-severe storm    25/30/25

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